正文 第28章 巴氏風格(1)(1 / 3)

1.正確把握退出時機

It is very reasonable we buy the shares of Wells Fargo between 1990 banking stocks chaos phenomenon of this disorder, the past few months, some of the original operating banks with good reputation, its error lending decisions but 11media to expose, as again and again the huge loss figures are released, the integrity of the banking sector and ensure that time and time again been trampled on, gradually investing more and more people can not believe the number of the bank"s financial statements, taking advantage of the sell off Bank shares, we broke the trend of $ 290 million, less than five times the price—earnings ratio (pre—tax profit, the price to earnings or less than three times) to buy a 10% stake in Wells Fargo. Wells Fargo is quite large, carrying up to $ 56 billion in assets, up to 20% return on equity, return on assets was 1.25%, equivalent to buy his 10% stake bought a $ 5 billion of assets 100 % of the equity, but really have such conditions the bank, the price tag may be $ 290 million more than doubled, In addition, even if it can buy, we also have to face another problem, that is, can not find like Carl Reichardt such talent business in recent years, a former manager from Wells Fargo has been widely welcomed by the various interbank, but the old master may want to go to this bank is not an easy thing.

——摘自1992年巴菲特寫給全體股東的年報

譯文

我們是在1990年銀行股處於混沌狀態時購買進富國銀行股份的,在我看來,這種情況是非常合理的,幾個月前,一些原本口碑不錯的銀行,其自身錯誤的貸款決定卻被媒體所披露,隨著龐大的損失數據一次又一次被公布,整個銀行業的誠信也接連遭到踐踏,這使得投資者對於銀行的財務報表數據越來越持懷疑的態度,趁著大多數人放棄銀行股之際,我們卻逆勢以2.9億美元的價格買進了富國銀行10%的股份。不得不說的是,富國銀行的實力確實非常強,其賬麵資產高達560億美元,股東權益報酬率始終維持在20%左右,而資產報酬率也在1.25%。可以說,買下其10%的股份好比是買下一家50億美元資產的100%股權,但如果真有如此條件的銀行,其開出的價碼可能是2.9億美元的一倍以上,就算真的能夠買到,同樣會遇到另外一個現實的問題,那就是我們找不到像卡爾·雷查德這樣的人才來經營公司。近些年來,從富國銀行出身的經理人大多會受到銀行同業的歡迎,但想要請到類似於卡爾·雷查德的人才卻不是件簡單的事情。

投資解讀

2008年以來美國的金融危機不斷地升級,9月份又爆發了令所有的投資者為之恐慌的華爾街金融風暴。全球金融市場都遭受了嚴重的破壞,即使是一些比較優秀的股票也在被人們大量地拋售。股市持續低迷,股票價格不斷地下跌,很多公司在風暴中倒閉,華爾街的金融格局也被迫改變。但是在這樣的金融危機中,投資大師巴菲特卻在利用伯克希爾的資本在世界範圍內進行抄底。他先是用將近50億美元的資金對高盛投資,然後接著又收購美國通用電氣和中國最大的充電電池企業比亞迪,他所控股的富國銀行更是斥巨資購買了美國的第五大銀行。